Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 5.882558 6.461869 7.099784 7.859326 8.745646 9.755465 11.005032
2024-10-27 4.893526 5.646167 6.539936 7.698129 9.187949 11.082444 13.748159
2024-11-03 4.340876 5.169292 6.203083 7.622994 9.582790 12.293955 16.535152
2024-11-10 4.133515 5.062536 6.275041 8.033636 10.633576 14.555132 21.446541
2024-11-17 3.887694 4.864051 6.183113 8.180769 11.306116 16.385621 26.324145
2024-11-24 3.599611 4.573164 5.921871 8.031161 11.477351 17.421532 30.156699
2024-12-01 3.375472 4.347156 5.723891 7.941138 11.713612 18.606103 34.807482
2024-12-08 3.159852 4.113847 5.490157 7.760459 11.756079 19.426900 39.038258
2024-12-15 3.006491 3.957601 5.355367 7.719186 12.031311 20.770064 45.382509
2024-12-22 2.873059 3.820164 5.235869 7.686151 12.310898 22.193387 52.968248
2024-12-29 2.800501 3.767575 5.242218 7.865994 13.028050 24.821160 66.882579
2025-01-05 2.646304 3.580963 5.020471 7.617864 12.838720 25.197770 72.795743
2025-01-12 2.489465 3.390080 4.792286 7.361545 12.650319 25.685885 80.704083
2025-01-19 2.364049 3.242491 4.627219 7.209800 12.676243 26.818673 93.903771
2025-01-26 2.265668 3.131190 4.513597 7.141291 12.874851 28.537927 114.120425
2025-02-02 2.251662 3.152219 4.623333 7.513635 14.171375 34.301095 182.665576
2025-02-09 2.198718 3.106498 4.613567 7.646833 14.923750 38.761848 271.167248
2025-02-16 2.109020 2.995348 4.480435 7.511392 14.958672 40.577857 344.391489
2025-02-23 2.034070 2.904805 4.378056 7.429838 15.124598 43.077092 467.690913
2025-03-02 1.952848 2.799929 4.243347 7.266024 15.034938 44.453853 598.778396
2025-03-09 1.894613 2.731051 4.170071 7.228579 15.300693 47.728501 923.524465
2025-03-16 1.841204 2.667834 4.103246 7.198601 15.585415 51.383124 1588.756008
2025-03-23 1.815701 2.650981 4.121445 7.361729 16.499323 59.452868 5711.804929